Sunday, 16 October 2011

Oct 16

G. Furth v Erzgebirge - German Bundesliga 2 - Lay Erzgebirge Aue
€6.94 @ 8.2  Risking €50

Match will start at 1:30 German time. Bundesliga 2 is one of those leagues where the favourite usually wins which is one of the reasons for my prediction. The other reasons? well, Aue has been having a bit of a bad run recently and I do not feel that they are going to break their bad run away from home.

At half time the score stands at 1-0 and I decided to cover my position. I am not happy with the way the odds are moving and I decided to pre-empt a possible equaliser. So my profit is a nice enough €5.40 instead of the €6.94 had I waited and of course Aue looses. I guess my math is that I am risking €50 to win an additional €1.54.



2nd bet for the day
Cagliari v Siena - Italy Serie A - Lay Siena
€11.36 @ 5.4 Risking €50

I got into this bet 7 minutes into the game.
65 minutes into the game I decided to take a small profit and get out. So I covered my position at 6.6 for a €2.04 profit.
Final result on this was 0-0 but no regrets.


3rd bet for the day
Ljungskile v IK Brage - Sweden Superetan
€10 @ 6 Risking €50

Got into this position in the 19th minute of the game.
Not happy with the way the odds are moving in this match so I have got out. IK Brage's odds are still at 6.00 after 55 minutes whereas Ljungskile's have shot up to 2.46-2.74.
So no profit from this position but no loss either.

71st minute of the game and IK Brage go ahead 0-1 even though they managed to get a red card a few minutes earlier. It just goes to show, you need to keep watching the odds. It's a great means of crowd sourcing sentiment about the game, and this time the crowd got it right. Of course it ain't over till the fat lady sings...

Final result was 1-2

Saturday, 15 October 2011

Oct 15

FC Cartagena v Cordoba - Lay Cartagena - Spain Liga Adelante
As I am writting this the odds on Betfair are at 2.58 with insufficient liquidity to place the bet. This will of course change as the day progresses so I will place the lay a little later in the afternoon.
Another thing about this, like most of my lays, I will have to keep an eye on it. If Cartagena score first then I will just cut my losses. Of course the real safe option would be that I only place the lay if and when Cordoba are ahead... let's see.

I was out all day and I completely forgot to place this lay :-( It finished 0-0 so it would have been a nice profit but instead I had a lovely day in the Sun watching my 6 year old daughter trying to use in-line skates.

Let's see what tomorrow will bring, shall we?

Friday, 14 October 2011

Oct 14

Bochum v Eintacht Frankfurt - German Bundesliga 2
Lay Bochum

I layed Bochum before the match at €33.89 @ 3.95 for a potential loss of €100
Soon enough Frankfurt was 2-0 up at which point I covered my lay with 2.43 @ 55 which left me with a nice profit of €31.24 whatever the outcome.

Oh my!

has it really been 3 years since I last posted on this blog!? I had been thinking for ages that I should start putting up my recent bets but for something would come up and I just kept putting it off, till today. Logged on to blogger looked at my last post and saw that it was in 2008. Wow, I thought it was early last year that I had last posted. I guess it's true when they say that as you get older, time flies by faster and faster.

Anyway, I still do not have a Q7 and I am still driving my Renault Scenic. I was at my daughters school today for a jumble sale and I was amazed at how many Q7's were parked outside, it seems that I was not the only one with his eye on one, but perhaps other parents had a better and more successful system :-) Well, it seems to me that it is time to try again with my brand new system that has yet to let me down in the last few weeks.

I will be publishing at least one lay a day on here, and on some days I may even publish more then one. Keep coming back to check up on my progress and any words of encouragement you want to offer, will be welcome.

Tuesday, 10 June 2008

Day 2 -€15.78





TimeHorseCourseAmountOddsP&L
14.30 Orphaned Annie Redcar €5 17.50 €4.75
14.30 Countrywide City Salisbury €5 2.62 €4.75
14.45 High Plains Salisbury €5 12.50 -€52.50
14.45 Bartercard Salisbury €5 11.50 €4.75
15.00 Comghaire Redcar €5 3.90 €4.75
15.15 Rowaad Salisbury €5 24.55 €4.75
15.30 Red Tarn Redcar €5 5.70 €4.75
15.45 Credit Swap Salisbury €5 5.40 €4.75
15.45 Strategic mover Salisbury €5 4.60 €4.75
16.15 Casilda Salisbury €5 21.00 -€100.00
16.30 Ansells Pride Redcar €5 3.95 €4.75
16.45 Bold Bobby Be Salisbury €5 5.10 €4.75
17.00 Funky Town Redcar €5 13 €4.75
17.15 Infinite Patience Salisbury €5 17.50 €4.75
17.15 Peas In A Pod Salisbury €5 4.50 €4.75
17.30 South Wales Redcar €5 9.80 €4.75
17.30 Sarah's First Redcar €5 17.50 €4.75
17.45 Charlie Delta Salisbury €5 3.85 €4.75
17.45 Obe Royal Salisbury €5 10.50 €4.75
18.30 The Stickler Southwell €5 11.00 €4.75
19.00 Learning The Blues Southwell €5 9.00 €4.75
19.15 Piper's Song Chester €5 NR
19.15 Drawn Gold Chester €5 5.00 €4.75
19.30 Back To The Wind Southwell €5 9.00 €4.75
19.45 Hazzard County Chester €5 5.00 €4.75
19.45 Il Castagno Chester NR
20.00 Peaceful Means Southwell €3.65 22.00 €3.47
20.15 Best One Chester €5 7.20 €4.75
20.30 Benmadigan Southwell over 25
20.30 Kahrayn Southwell €5 4.60 €4.75
20.45 Sinbad The Sailor Chester €5 3.10 €4.75
20.45 Seeking The Star Chester €5 16.00 €4.75
21.15 Terminate Chester €5 23.00 €4.75




DAY TOTAL -€15.78

Monday, 9 June 2008

Day 1 +€123.66





TimeHorseCourseAmountOddsP&L
14.15 Briery Lane Folkestone € 2.14 15.50 €2.03
14.30 Rapscallion Newton Abbot €41.66 1.72 €39.48
14.45 Sub Prime Folkestone €5.00 1.44 -€1.60
15.00 Oldrik Newton Abbot € 8.82 4.4 €8.38
15.00 Daraybad Newton Abbot € 6.40 5.7 €6.08
15.00 Wild Power Newton Abbot € 2.00 17.00 €1.90
15.15 We Have A Dream Folkestone € 5.00 4.30 -€16.50
15.15 Perfect Flight Folkestone € 5.00 10.50 €4.75
15.45 Chapter Folkestone € 5.00 17.00 €4.75
16.00 Foolish Myth Newton Abbot € 5.00 3.40 €4.75
16.00 Tupac Amaru Newton Abbot NR

16.15 Piano Sonata Folkestone € 5.00 15.50 €4.75
16.15 Dea Caelestis Folkestone € 5.00 7.40 €4.75
16.30 Cee Cee Rider Newton Abbot NR

16.30 Once Newton Abbot NR

16.45 Silent Aplause Folkestone € 5.00 6.80 €4.75
17.00 Kilmeena Magic Newton Abbot NR

17.40 Kiss N Run Roscommon € 5.00 2.36 -€6.80
18.50 On Offer Pontefract € 5.00 18.50 €4.75
19.00 Pay The Grey Windsor € 5.00 27.00 €4.75
19.20 At The Money Pontefract NR

19.20 Brave Bugsy Pontefract € 5.00 8.00 €4.75
19.30 Valrhona Windsor € 5.00 1.98 -€4.90
19.30 Krugerrand Windsor € 5.00 10.00 €4.75
19.50 Missioner Pontefract € 5.00 2.42 €4.75
19.50 Totoman Pontefract NR

20.00 Quaroma Windsor € 5.00 10.00 €4.75
20.00 Another Socket Windsor € 5.00 7.80 €4.75
20.20 Fondled Pontefract € 5.00 2.92 €4.75
20.20 Steam Cuisine Pontefract € 5.00 14.50 €4.75
20.30 Grand Vizier Windsor € 5.00 6.80 €4.75
20.30 Davenport Windsor € 5.00 13.50 €4.75
20.50 A Big Sky Brewing Pontefract € 5.00 8.20 €4.75
20.50 Dickie Le Davoir Pontefract € 5.00 15.50 €4.75
21.00 Tea Cake Windsor € 5.00 18.50 €4.75
21.20 Funfair Wayne Pontefract missed it





DAY TOTAL €123.66


Friday, 2 May 2008

Day 1

Muss 15:20 1m1f Hcap - Lay First Buddy
24@1.63

Where

All my betting is done on Betfair, an online betting exchange. If you are ever interested on a flutter, then I really would recommend you to join them. In fact, if you do decide to join, click on the image below and you get £25 as part of an offer they have going.
Go to Betfair.com