Monday, 3 December 2007

Day 31

Folk 3rd Dec - 14:00 2m5f Hcap Ch - Lay Buckland Gold
€3.5@5.2


Wolv 3rd Dec - 15:40 1m1f Hcap - Lay Rigat
4.16@4.6

Saturday, 1 December 2007

Day 30

Towc 1st Dec - 12:20 3m Hcap Chs - Lay Another Chat
€4@5.4 Result: €3.84


Kemp 1st Dec - 16:25 1m Hcap - Lay Dens Gift
€4@6 Result -€20

Thursday, 29 November 2007

Day 29

Uttox 29th Nov - 14:35 2m6f Beg Chs - Lay Firth of Forth
€5@4 Result €4.75


Uttox 29th Nov - 13:00 2m Nov Hrd - Lay Pebrock
€4.70@4.20 Result €4.46

Wednesday, 28 November 2007

Day 28

Ling 28th Nov - 14:05 2m3f Nov Hrd - Lay Ashwell Lad
€4@5.20 Result €3.80

Tuesday, 27 November 2007

Day 27

Atlanta @ Chicago - Back Chicago
€15@1.47 Result €6.70
Chicago is crap this season, but Atlanta are even worse. Should be a good win for Chicago at home.

Sunday, 25 November 2007

Day 26

West Ham v Tottenham - Over 2.5
€15@1.88 Result: -€15.00
West ham have the ability and the people to inflict serious damage on Tottenham.
Tottenham need the points so I see an attacking game from both sides.


Plump 25th Nov - 14:05 2m5f Nov Hrd - Lay Gansey
€18@1.84 Result: -€15.66

Saturday, 24 November 2007

Day 25

Ling 24th Nov - 12:05 6f Hcap - Lay Ever Cheerful
€5.20@3.85 Result: €4.94


Ascot 24th Nov - 13:50 2m3f Hrd - Lay Afsoun

7.20@3.1 Result: €6.84



Ascot 24th Nov - 14:20 2m1f Hcap Chs - Pablo Du Charmil
€3.57@5.2 Result: €3.39


Ling 24th Nov - 14:45 6f Listed - Desert Lord
€5@4 Result: €4.75

Houston @ Cleveland - bet Cleveland
€15@1.63 Result: €8.98
Cleveland offense is getting great field position from Cribbs and this will happen again.
Cleveland's defense should be able to get off the field enough times so their offense can score and eat up the clock.
Even though Houston is getting healthier with the return of WR Andre
Johnson being a big help...they still just don't have what it takes to
keep this one.



Toronto @ Phoenix - Lay Toronto
€6@2.7 Result: €5.70
Phoenix played serious game last night against the Ducks in Anaheim.
The team dares to play much more aggressive as they now can rely on a
solid goalkeeping.Other than that, Phoenix are 10-10-0 so far, and have
a good chance to stretch their current winning streak.
Toronto is having a slump of a season,with poor 8-10-5.
Toronto have the worst defense in the league, giving up 79 so far on average of 3,44.
But, Toronto are playing at home, so rather then bet on Phoenix, I will just lay Toronto in regular time only.

Friday, 23 November 2007

Day 24

I know Mr pulg will hate me, but I will be laying some more horses today

Ascot 23rd Nov - 14:35 2m3f Hcap Chs - Lay Mr boo
€5.36@3.8 Result: Mr Boo lost €5.09


Ascot 23rd Nov - 15:10 3m Hcap Chs - Lay the King of Angels
€3.26@5.6 Result: King of Angels lost €3.10


Extr 23rd Nov - 13:35 2m1f Hcap Chs - lay Shanahan
€4@4.90 - Never made that lay. Did not check if it was taken and of course it was not. It of course lost :-(


Kelso 23rd Nov - 15:35 3m4f Hcap Chs - Lay Petite Margot and this is the one I should have missed.
€4.55@4.30 Result: Won -€15.02


Wolv 23rd Nov - 20:55 1m Hcap - Lay Baan
€5.20@3.90 Lay voided


Denver @ Chicago - Denver +1.5pts
€15@2.06
Broncos are coming off an impressive win on Monday night, while the Bears are trying to stay in the playoff hunt.
Broncos are starting to get on a roll, while the Bears have struggled with consistency all season.


NY Islanders @ Boston - Regular Time Goals - Under 5.5 goals
€15@1.78 Result: €11.11
Boston is against goals rankings, giving up just 47 goals, 2.47 average.
Boston are ranked 23rd in the scoring department,recording 48 goals on 2.53 average.
Both teams have shown that their main strength comes from well organized defense.


New Jersey @ Atlanta - 3rd period over 1.5
€15@1.75 (at bwin) Result: -€15
These two usually play very fast games with many chances and many goals.
But, they do play quite a defensive game too.
there is a tendency for most goals to be scored in third period hence the over 1.5

Wednesday, 21 November 2007

Day 23

22.11 NY Jets @ Dallas Cowboys - NY Jets - Dallas -14.5pts
€15@2.6 Result: 15.10
Cowboys are at home to take on the Jets who are flying high after a big win against the Steelers this last weekendThe Cowboys have won 4 in a row, and have just steam rolled their entire division in 3 straight games.
Cowboys just have too many weapons on offense. On defense, they are a very solid team
The Jets won't have many answers for them.



22.11 Indianapolis @ Atlanta - Indianapolis -11.5pts
€15@2.00 Result: €14.25
Tampa Bay just smacked Atlanta in the mouth really bad in a 34 or so to 7 or so beating this weekend.
Colts know the road to the playoffs is a way easier after this game.
The Colts will have no problem disposing the lowly Falcons on National TV


22.11 Green Bay Packers v Detroit Lions - Green Bay -3.5
€15@2.08
covered in play at 1.04 - Should have gone in again at 1.30 :-(
Result €14.63


Sunday, 18 November 2007

Day 22

18/11/2007 Chicago @ Los Angeles - Chicago +4.5 LA -4.5
€15@1.70 Result €9.97
LA has full sqad once more.
Chicago without Deng. blow to their offence and defence.



Tennessee @ Denver - Tennessee +2.5pts - Denver -2.5
€15@2.06 Result €15.39

Day 21

The Russians let us down yedsterday by loosing 2-1 in Israel. I guess there is a lot to be said for teams that have nothing more to loose, they can play better then teams under pressure. OK, on to todays selections.

18/11 Perth v Central Coast - Over/Under 2.5 goals - back overs
€15@2.20 Result -€15
A depleted Perth squad from international call-ups (7 players missing)
Both teams rely on attack
Mariners will miss their Goalkeeper so good chance for overs

18/11 Chelt 18th Nov - 14:20 2m Hcap Chs - Lay Voy Por Ustedes
€18.1@1.84 Result €17.19

18/11 Chelt 18th Nov - 14:55 2m Hcap Hrd - Lay Sizing Europe
€2.42@7.2 Result -€13.41

18/11 Carl 18th Nov - 14:10 3m2f Hcap Chs - Lay Lucky Nellerie
€5.1@3.95 Result €4.84


18/11 Pittsburgh @ NY Jets - NY Jets +9.5pts - Pittsburgh -9.5
€15@2.16 Result -€15
3 straigh wins recently have cost the Steelers deerly in an emotional sense.
New York, although the worst team are competitive and will play hard.




Saturday, 17 November 2007

Day 20

A short absence and I am back

17/11 Israel v Russia - Back Russia
€15@1.53 Result 2-1 -€15
Israel are out of it and Russia needs to win this match to move forward. It could be argued that Israel may be more relaxed in this game and therefore perform well and hold the Russians so temptation was to lay Israel, but I will go with Russia.



17/11 Weston S Mare v Lewes - Back Lewes
€15@2.02 Result 1-2 +€14.53
Lewes is not going to miss on 3 easy points here as they are fighting for top place.
Only one defeat this season agaisnt good side Eastleigh.
Weston on onther side had their moments a few rounds back, winning 4 in
a row, but it was mainly due to bad opponents. After that they 4-0, 3-0
an 1-0, but manage to win only st.albans, a trugling team, with 3-0.


Sunday, 11 November 2007

Day 19

There have been some really strange results inthe first half of the weekend. Let's hope this trend does not continue.
Ok, so it did continue. I think A little break is called for so get my act together.


11/11 Here 11th Nov - 14:10 2m1f Mdn Hrd - Lay with speed
€4@5.7 Result: €3.80 Bank €259.20

11/11 Here 11th Nov - 13:10 2m1f Nov Hrd - Back Sowdrey
€4@1.42 Result -€4

11/11 Deportive v Santander - Lay Deportivo
€10@2.54 Result: €9.20
only Villarreal and Atletico Madrid were able to beat Santander so far.


11/11 Amadora v Porto - Bet Porto €15@1.5 Result: -€15


11/11 Cincinnati @ Baltimore - Cincinnati +4.5pts
€15@1.97 (waiting to be taken) - Was not taken
Baltimore offense struggled disgustingly against the Steelers on Monday night
Chris Henry back from his 8 game suspension issued last year.


11/11 Panathinaikos v AEK - Asian Handicap - AEK +0&+.5
€15@2.02 Result: -€15



11/11 Tottenham v Wigan - Back Tottenham
€15@1.48 4-0 Result: €6.84
Managerless Wigan are in some trouble after a bright start and really need a decent manager.
Spurs appear to be gaining a bit of speed now.



11/11 Bolton v Middlesbrough - Asian Handicap - Bolton -0
€15@1.52 0-0 Result: 0
Bolton was terrible this season.
M'Boro is more awful that Bolton was from start of season. only 2-3 teams they can beat, and only at home.

Saturday, 10 November 2007

Day 18

10/11/2007 Winc 10th Nov - 13:10 2m5f Hcap Chs - Bet Phoenix Jack
€4@3.35 Result: -€4 Bank €295.20


10/11/2007 Naas 10th Nov - 13:25 2m Beg Chs - Back Montana bay
€4@1.47 Result: -€4


10/11/2007 Kelso 10th Nov - 15:15 2m6f Hcap Chs - Lay Corrib Lad
€4.4@4.4 Result: €4.40


10/11/2007 Kelso 10th Nov - 14:40 2m6f Hcap Hrd - Back Hi Dancer
€4@6.6 Result: -€4


10/11/2007 Kelso 10th Nov - 15:50 2m2f Hcap Hrd - Back Scutch Mill
€4@3.9 Result: -€4


10/11/2007 Winc 10th Nov - 13:45 2m6f Hcap Hrd - Back Eden Linty
€4@3.8 Result: €10.64


10/11/2007 Watford v Colchester - Bet Watford
€15@1.5 Result: -€15


10/11/2007 Besiktas v Sivasspor - Bet Besiktas
€15@1.90 (Waiting to be taken)
The bet was never taken, but I got better odds in play, 2.2. Did not help though. It seems Besiktas really are in shock after their defeat in Liverpool :-(

Result: -€15
After their 8-0 defeat they need to prove themselves at home.
Sivas missing goalkeeper
Yasin Kambora and Dialla are other important absentees.




10/11/2007 Panellinios v Egaleo - Egaleo +8.5 - Panelinios -8.5
€15@1.91 Result: -€15
Pan have three consecutive win till now ,two of them away, one of them vs Maroussi. They play excellent basketball.



10/11/2007 Konyaspor v Rizespor - Back Konyaspor
€15@1.89 Result: €12.38
Konyaspor has an ascending form.
Konya more diciplined in defence and making less mistakes.
Rizespor isn't in a good situation at that moment and they have
collected only 1 point so far and the goal difference is 2-13 at away.



10/11/2007 Mansfield v Lewes - Asian Handicap - Lewes +1
€15@1.83 Result: 3-0 -€15
Simon Brown has definitely been ruled out of Mansfield Town's FA Cup first round tie with Lewes.
Lee Bell is also likely to miss out.
McAliskey is back for home team, but still not as fit as he should be.
Mansfield position in very bottom place of table. With 3-3-11 this season.
On other side Lewes play good, draw 1-1 away at Grays, than beat them 2-0 at home, in league they score a lot.
Bit of a crisis with scoring lately, but they are back with 4-0 win over Sutton



Friday, 9 November 2007

Day 17

I would like to continue on this horse theme for a few days and see how it pans out. this is more of an experiment so...

9/11/2007 Hex 9th Nov : 2m4f Hcap Hrd - Lay Talarive
€4.60@4.40 Result +€4.37 Bank: €329.66


9/11/2007 Font 9th Nov - 13:40 2m6f Hcap Chs - Bet Almizan
€4@9.2 Result -€4 Bank: €325.66

9/11/2007 Font 9th Nov - 14:10 2m2f Hcap Hrd - Bet Grey Paint
€4@15 Result: -€4 Bank: €321.66

9/11/2007 Font 9th Nov - 16:10 2m2f Hcap Chs - Bet Bill Owen
€4@4.70 Result: -€4 Bank: €317.60


9/11/2007 Font 9th Nov - 15:10 2m4f Hcap Hrd - Lay Silver serg
€5.1@3.95 Result: +€4.84 Bank322.50


9/11/2007 Hex 9th Nov : 2m Hcap Hrd - Lay Schinken Otto

€4@5.10 Result: +€3.80 Bank: €326.30



9/11/2007 Muss 9th Nov : 7f Mdn Stks - Lay Island Music
€4@5.00 Result: +€3.80 Bank: €330.10



9/11/2007 San Antonio @ New Orleans - New Orleans +3.5
€15@1.93 Result: €13.38 Bank €343.48

Thursday, 8 November 2007

Day 16

8/11/2007 Phoenix @ Atlanta - Bet Phoenix
€15@1.43 Result: -€15 Bank: €333.96
Phoenix is one of the best teams in the NBA. They have very good players
(Barbosa, Diaw, Mrion) and they have their star players (Nash and Stoudemire). This season they signed Hill who can score a couple of
points in every match.


8/11/2007 Towc 8th Nov - 15:10 2m5f Hcap Hrd - Lay Herecomestanley
€3.33@5.5 Result: +€3.33 Bank: €337.29


These following ones are just for fun:
Towc 8th Nov - 13:40 2m Sell Hrd - bet Perfect storm
€4@7.40 - Came in 2nd
Result: -€4 Bank: €333.29


Wolv 8th Nov - 20:50 1m1f Hcap - Bet Chia
€4@7.40 also came in 2nd in a photofinish
Result: -€4 Bank: €329.29


Wolv 8th Nov - 21:20 1m6f Hcap - Bet Salute
€4@9.20 Result: -€4 Bank: €325.29

Wednesday, 7 November 2007

Day 15

7/11/2007 Union Olimpija-CSKA Moscow Half time +5/-5 - CSKA -5
€15@1.95 Bet placed at Aurobet as Betfiar offers worse odds for ht -5.5
Result: -€15 Bank: €336.18


7/11/2007
Igokea v Panathinaikos - Bet Panathinaikos
€15@1.48 Result: +€6.84 Bank: €343.02
Panathinaikos has very very good players like Jasikevicius, Diamantidis, Spanoulis, Tsartsaris, Batist, Tomasevic etc
They have diamantidis which is the best defender playing in europe.


7/11/2007 Kemp 7th Nov - 20:20 7f Hcap - Lay Vanadium
€6.25@3.4 Result: +€5.94 Bank: €348.96

Tuesday, 6 November 2007

Day 14


6/11/2007 Norwich v Watford (Soccer) Back Watford

€15@1.98 Result: +€13.92 Bank: €365.47
The two ends of the league playing against each other, no contest.


Trying something new with the horse racing. I will be placing minimum bets on these horse, at least for the time being.
6/11/2007 2:50 Exeter - Fair Along
€4@2.16 Result: -€4 Bank: €361.47


6/11/2007 3:50 Exeter - Kaldouas
€4@4.8 Backed out at 3.31, sorry about that, wrong track.


6/11/2007 Olympiakos v Real Madrid - Asian Handicap - Olympiakos -0
€15@2.9 Was a draw so bet void.
Olympiakos gave a great account of themselves in Madrid despite being reduced to 10 men for most of the match.
Guti has joined the sick list and will be receiving treatment alongside Robben, Dudek and Higuain.
Metzelder and Salgado are both given a well earned rest.



6/11/2007 Porto v Marseille - Back Porto
€15@1.69 Result: +€9.83 Bank: €371.30
Porto should have to win by 3 goals at least.
Played great football in Marseille, created many chances, but failed to score many times.



6/11/2007 Bradford v Chester lay Bradford
€9@2.68 Result: -€15.12 Bank: €356.18


7/11/2007 LA Clippers @ Chicago - LA Clippers +7.5 - Bet Chicago -7.5
€5 @ 1.86 Small bet here Result: -€5.12 Bank: €351.18
Clippers are without Brand and Livingstone.
For this game Kaman is in doubt too.
Chicago has very strong team at home and that Clippers without Brand is just not the same Clippers.


Monday, 5 November 2007

Day 13

5/11/2007 Edmonton @ Minnesota ( Ice Hockey) Back Minnesotta
€15@1.71 Result: +€10.12 Bank: €351.55
5-0-0 in their recent matches to Minnesota.
Edmonton has had a winning streak at home
Minnesota has excellent defence and Edmonton crap attack



Sunday, 4 November 2007

Day 12

4/11/2007 San Francisco @ Atlanta - San Francisco +3.5pts
€15@1.89 Placed on the 2nd Result: -€15 Bank: €319.63
Atlanta has won 1 game this year, and now they are being asked to win a game by at least 4 points!?


4/11/2007 bryan/bryan v Nestor/Zimonjic - bet Nestro/Zimonjic
€10@5 Result: -€15 Bank: €309.63
Zimonic and Nestor are new pair on the scene but together they have great experience.
Both are typical double players and both previously won over Bryans Bros.
Last week they've won St.Petersburg


4/11/2007 Panathinaikos - Olympiakos over 154.5
€15@1.85 Result: +€12.75 Bank: €322.38
Olympiacos will win this game (I think)
Going against Pana in front of their home crowd expect a fight


4/11/2007 Livorno v Udinese - Lay Livorno
€5.36@3.85 Result: +€5.09 Bank: €327.47
Lucarelli lerft and the system they were using for 4 years crashed.
Udinese has had some good victories recently


4/11/2007 Cleveland @ Phoenix - Cleveland +8.5 Lay Cleveland
€14.70@2.02 Result: +€13.96 Bank: €341.43

Saturday, 3 November 2007

Day 11

3/11/2007 Northwich v Stevenage - Lay Northwich €2.78@6.4 Result: +€2.64 Bank 355.87

3/11/2007 Newport County v Dorchester Town - bet Newport €15@1.61 Result: +€8.76 Bank 364.87 Good run from Newport, clearly intending to be promoted Dorchester completely opposite performance.

3/11/2007 Mallorca v Valencia - Bet mallorca €15@2.58
Result: -€15 Bank 349.63 Players like Guiza, Arango and Ibagaza are doing great job upfront, creating many troubles to opponent defense.
Mallorca hold pretty good home record (3-1-1)
Valencia which is struggling a lot lately especially in defense.
Los Che allowed 14 goals in last five matches.



3/11/2007 Boston @ Ottawa - Money Line (Inc. OT) - Lay Boston 6.59@3.16 closing this one at 3.2 giving a profit of a few cents (+.05) and going on Boston @ Ottawa - Boston +1.5 Bet Ottawa -1.5 Layed Boston +1.5 €19.48@1.77
Result: -€15 Bank 334.63 Ottawa are the best team currently in the NHL, they are last years NHL finalist and
champions of the eastern conference. They play great hockey, very fast,
good technicians.
Patrice Bergeron of Boston injured himself few day ago, and will not play till end of November.



Friday, 2 November 2007

Day 10

2/11/2007 MHC Martin - MHK Kezmarok - Bet on martin
€15@1.55 Result: +€8.25 Bank: €357.97
Kezmarok main strength is home crowd.
Kezmarok their main goal this season is to remain in the highest league.




4/11/2007 San Francisco @ Atlanta - San Francisco +3.5pts
€15@1.89 (waiting to be taken) settled on Day 12
Atlanta has won 1 game this year, and now they are being asked to win a game by at least 4 points!?



2/11/2007 Toronto @ New Jersey - Money Line (Inc. OT) - Bet New Jersey
€15@1.72 Result: +€10.26 Bank: €368.23 Three times in their last five games, Toronto gave up 5 or more goals. They focus on attack too much
Devils
have had some trouble playing against Toronto in New Jersey - loosing 3
of last 4 games, but they also had trouble playing Tampa at home and
yet destroyed them.
Toronto players will surely be uptight in the attack as they have to
keep defending in their mind (they cant leave everything on their
rather poor goalies).



2/11/2007 Swansea v Gillingham - bet Swansea
€15@1.49
Result: -€15 Bank: €353.23
Hiltonfish - 1 bet per Day reccomendation

Thursday, 1 November 2007

Day 9

1/11/2007 Wawrinka v Nadal - bet on Wawrinka
€5@4.90 Result: -€5 Bank: €305.13
Not too sure about this one, so only a small stake
Wawrinka is in better form since their last meeting.
Nadal has had problems with his knees
Question about how motivated players who are going to Shanghai are right now.
Nadal has always been a bit down this time of the season.
His
indoor hard and carpet records aren't so great 20-11 and 11-11.

At Australian Open this year Nadal showed his superior skills winning the match 6-2, 6-2, 6-2


1/11/2007 Federer v Nalbandian - Bet Nalbandian
€10@4.1 Result: +€31.50 Bank: €336.95 - I closed my position early for a profit, then traded a few penies to bring my total up by a few more cents.
Not too sure about this one, so a smaller stake
Roger Federer playing his his third tournament during three weeks.
Usually he is tired at this point.
He beat Karlovic but it was hard match for him
Nalbandian in superb form and knows how to beat Federer.
If Federer plays similar to his game against Karlovic then he will lose.
Nalbandian can suit his game for different surfaces where Federer likes it faster.


1/11/2007 Tau Ceramica v Virtus VidiVici Bologna - Tau -11.5
€15@1.9 (Placed on Bwin as Betfair only has a +/-9 market) Result: +€13.50 Bank: €350.45
Bologna there will be a big missing. Spencer Dewrick


1/11/2007 Feyenoord v Groningen - Asian Handicap - +1.5
€15@1.96 Result: -€15 Bank: €335.45
Hiltonfish - 1 bet per Day reccomendation



1/11/2007 Youzhny v Haas - Bet Youzhny
€15@1.84 - Result: +€5.58 Bank: €341.03 (Should not have interfered...Oh well)
I am going to back out of this as the event is in play. Haas is playing better then expected.
It is now midnight, Haas is more interested then I thought he would be so i have backed out and I am on +€5 whatever happens.
Youzhny gave good performance in St. Peterbourgh and in first two rounds in Paris.
Great match against Gonzalez mixing up game with aggressive baseline game and nice volleys.
Haas lost some matches recently that He shouldn't.
Doesn't give best effort on court and making too many easy errors.
Performance was very mediocre against Tipsarevic.
Haas said in interview that Shanghai isn't his main target and He wants to finally end this long season.



1/11/2007 Washington @ NY Rangers - Money Line (Inc. OT) - bet Rangers
€15@1.63 Result: +€8.69 Bank: €349.72
Rangers have a highly experienced team with some superb attacking force - Jagr,Shanahan, Gomez.
Rangers are winless on road but won 4 out of six games at home.
Rangers won last 5 meetings in NY against the Caps.
Washington will still be without Semin,Clark and Poti.




Wednesday, 31 October 2007

Day 8

31/10/2007 Nieminen v A. Murray : Match Odds - In play - layed Murray
20@1.18 Result: -€3.60 Bank: €280.59


31/10/2007 Federer v Karlovic - Bet Karlovic
€10@7.8 Result: -€10.00 Bank: €270.59


31/10/2007 Sheff Utd v Arsenal - Bet Arsenal
€10@1.62 Result: +€5.89 Bank: €276.48
Hiltonfish - 1 bet per Day reccomendation


31/10/2007 Mahut v Blake - Bet Blake5.89

€10@1.49 Result: +€4.65 Bank: €281.13


31/10/2007 Bonus €29 Bank: €310.13


Tuesday, 30 October 2007

Day 7

30/10/2007 Grosjean v Tsonga - Bet Grosjean
€10@1.71 Result: €-10 Bank: €279
Tsonga has managed to beat Gasquet in this tournament before, BUT
Has been defeated in same semi-finals by Grisjean 6-1, 6-2

31/10/2007 Houston @ LA Lakers - Total Match Points - Over 193.5
€10@1.99 (Not taken, and will not take below 1.9) Not taken
Lakers at home usually score over 100 points.
with Adelman in charge Houston will go over 100 in most games
Lakers don't normally play slow basketball in Staples Center


31/10/2007 SV Salzburg v Rapid Vienna - lay Vienna
€2 @ 5.3
Result: €1.90 Bank: €280.90


31/10/2007 Coventry v West Ham - Over/Under 1.5 Goals - Bet Over
€10@1.38
Result: €-10 Bank: €284.51
Hiltonfish - 1 bet per Day reccomendation


there was a correction of a bet which cost me .32c so Balance is
284.19

Monday, 29 October 2007

Day 6

We are now entering the 2nd week and we are still risking €10 on each bet. I will kick things off with:

29/10/2007 C Palace v Watford - Over/Under 2.5 goals - Over 2.5
€10@2.04 Result Cancelled bet but made +€1.28 in the process Bank: €279.79
High average of goals for Palace and 2/3 of that for Watford.
20:18 I am getting a bad feeling about this bet, so I will try and close my position at the earliest opportunity. So if a goal is scored I will lay off my position. did so for a profit of 1.28 on unders .9 on overs



29/10/2007 C Palace v Watford - Match odds - In Play
layed the draw €2.5@4.9 Result: +€2.37 Bank: €282.16
Only 7% of half time away wins turned into draws in this league so far this year, and Watford are not heavily into draws (though Palace are).



29/10/2007 Tampa Bay @ NY Rangers - Money Line (Inc. OT) - Bet Rangers
€10@1.72 Result: +€6.84 Bank: €289
Lack of harmony in NY.
Tampa is solid but only at home
Traditionally, not too impressive in NY
goalie Lundqvist (NY) has been solid,giving up league lowest 17 goals


Sunday, 28 October 2007

Day 5

I would like to say that Sunday was a disaster. Losing 4 bets in 8 pushed my averages way down, but still up on the day. This is the end of the first week and I have managed to increase my starting capital by 37.9%. So long as I can keep this up I do not mind to the loses.

Two things learned from todays loses:
  • The first the overconfidence that made meleave a mistaken bet. The Palermo v Inter bet was a mistake. I realised it but I still kept it. Why? Because I had won so many in a row, how can I lose, even my mistakes will win...yeah right.
  • The second is emotion. I bet on Bayern because they are my adopted town's team. "Never bet emotionaly" how many times do I have to hear this or even tell myself!?
I do not regret following Hiltonfish's losing bet. He has done quite well so far on Betfair and I am following his thread with interest (3 loses in 27 bets) and if he can help towards the Q7 then so be it...I will follow his choices

Anyway. A new week is about to start so the best of luck. And a word of warning, just because my first week was good, does not mean I can keep it up, nor that you should be folowing me blindly. If you like some of the reasons I am giving for some of the bets, then fine, but they are not the only reasons. There are probably an equal number of reasons why you should not bet my way.

28/10/2007 Schnyder v Hantuchova - Bet Hantuchova
€10@1.91 Result: +€8.64 Bank: €281.94
Since 2005 5 wins in 6 matches for Hantuchova Four of these matches has been on the indoor hard Hantuchova won yesterday so is on a high Their History favours Hantuchova


28/10/2007 Veroia v OFI - Over/Under 2.5 goals - Bet overs €10@2.22 Result: +€11.59 Bank: €293.53
OFI are letting in too many goals,
Promoted to division but have not won anything yet
Words have been had so they need to attack
Veroia suffer from "jetlag" each time they fly out of Crete


28/10/2007 Besiktas v Buyuksehir - Asian Handicap - +1.5 €10@1.98 Result: +€9.12 Bank: €302.65
Besiktas tired from midweek game so will go for easy victory Buyuksehir won all home, lost all away and play defensively So hopefully they will loose by less then 2 goals


28/10/2007 Palermo v Inter - Asian Handicap - Inter -.5 €10@2.04 Result: -€10.00 Bank: €292.65
(This bet was a mistake :-( But I will let it stand)
should have deleted it :-(


28/10/2007 Aberdeen v Falkirk - Back Aberdeen
€10@1.70
Result: -€10.00 Bank: €282.65

Aberdeen way too strong and at home
Hiltonfish - 1 bet per Day reccomendation


28/10/2007 Levante v Atl Madrid - Bet Madrid
€10 @ 1.67 Result: +€6.36 Bank: €289.01 Levante are soooo terrible


28/10/2007 Aris v Olympiakos - Aris +1.5pts - Bet Olympiakos €10@2.00 Result: +€9.50 Bank: €298.51 Scales and Wilkinson missing Change of coach at Aris Olympiakos has good team players like players like Jackson, Greer, Blakney and Masijauskas

28/10/2007 Dortmund v B Munich - Asian Handicap - Munich -.5 & -1
€10@2.08 Result: -€10.00 Bank: €288.51
Because they are Bayern München :-)


28/10/2007 Osasuna v Valladolid - Bet Osasuna
€10@1.89 Result: -€10.00 Bank: €278.51

Osasuna started slow but have improved
held their own against Barca and Villareal
Valladolid won the 1 of the last 5 games and lost to teams below them in the rankings





Saturday, 27 October 2007

Day 4

27/10/2007 Ankaraspor v Genclerbirligi - Lay Genclerbirligi
€4.76@3.1 Result: +€4.52 Bank €255.23



27/10/2007 Metz v Nancy - Lay Metz
€4.08@3.45 Result: +€3.88 Bank €263.29



27/10/2007 West Brom v Norwich - Bet West Brom
€10@1.44 Result: +€4.18 Bank €263.29



27/10/2007 Sunderland v Fulham - Lay Fulham

€3.12@4.2 Result: +€2.96 Bank €266.25


27/10/2007 Kasimpasa v Fenerbahce - bet Fenerbahce
€10@1.67 Result: +€6.36 Bank €272.61


Missed an extra 69c in the Kayserispor game - Total is €273.3


Friday, 26 October 2007

Day 3

26/10/2007 Kayserispor v Trabzonspor - Lay Trabzonspor
4.25@3.35 Result: +€4.04 Bank: €231.71


26/10/2007 Bartoli v Vakulenko - Vakulenko to win
10@2.80 Result: €-10 Bank: €228.36


26/10/2007 Ljubicic v Falla - Falla to win
10@3.0 Result: +€19 Bank: €250.71

Thursday, 25 October 2007

Day 2

25/10/2007 Lokomotiv v Atl Madrid / Over/Under 2.5 goals
Lay Under 2.5 Goals 12.34@1.81 Result: + €11.72 Bank: €238.36



25/10/2007 Australia / NSW Electorates / Seat of Bennelong
Lay Labour 6.85@2.46 Date Change

Day 1


24/10/2007 Soccer / Marseille v Porto : Match Odds
Lay Marseille 5.2@2.92 Result: +4.94 Bank: 206.91


24/10/2007 Minnesota @ Calgary : Regular Time Match Odds
Lay Minnesota 4.88@2.02 Result: +4.64 Bank: 211.55


24/10/2007 Tampa Bay @ Washington : Regular Time Goals
Lay Under 6.5 Goals 15.88@1.63 Result: +15.09 Bank: 226.64

Where

All my betting is done on Betfair, an online betting exchange. If you are ever interested on a flutter, then I really would recommend you to join them. In fact, if you do decide to join, click on the image below and you get £25 as part of an offer they have going.
Go to Betfair.com