Sunday, 16 October 2011

Oct 16

G. Furth v Erzgebirge - German Bundesliga 2 - Lay Erzgebirge Aue
€6.94 @ 8.2  Risking €50

Match will start at 1:30 German time. Bundesliga 2 is one of those leagues where the favourite usually wins which is one of the reasons for my prediction. The other reasons? well, Aue has been having a bit of a bad run recently and I do not feel that they are going to break their bad run away from home.

At half time the score stands at 1-0 and I decided to cover my position. I am not happy with the way the odds are moving and I decided to pre-empt a possible equaliser. So my profit is a nice enough €5.40 instead of the €6.94 had I waited and of course Aue looses. I guess my math is that I am risking €50 to win an additional €1.54.



2nd bet for the day
Cagliari v Siena - Italy Serie A - Lay Siena
€11.36 @ 5.4 Risking €50

I got into this bet 7 minutes into the game.
65 minutes into the game I decided to take a small profit and get out. So I covered my position at 6.6 for a €2.04 profit.
Final result on this was 0-0 but no regrets.


3rd bet for the day
Ljungskile v IK Brage - Sweden Superetan
€10 @ 6 Risking €50

Got into this position in the 19th minute of the game.
Not happy with the way the odds are moving in this match so I have got out. IK Brage's odds are still at 6.00 after 55 minutes whereas Ljungskile's have shot up to 2.46-2.74.
So no profit from this position but no loss either.

71st minute of the game and IK Brage go ahead 0-1 even though they managed to get a red card a few minutes earlier. It just goes to show, you need to keep watching the odds. It's a great means of crowd sourcing sentiment about the game, and this time the crowd got it right. Of course it ain't over till the fat lady sings...

Final result was 1-2

Where

All my betting is done on Betfair, an online betting exchange. If you are ever interested on a flutter, then I really would recommend you to join them. In fact, if you do decide to join, click on the image below and you get £25 as part of an offer they have going.
Go to Betfair.com